Here are the final unofficial results for the 18^th Middlesex state rep race:

Rady Mom – 647
Jim Leary – 595
Brian Donovan – 576
David Ouellette – 347
write-in votes – 276

Rady Mom – Democratic nominee for 18th Middlesex District

So where did Rady Mom gain his margin of victory?  Let’s look at how he did against second place finisher Jim Leary in each of the twelve precincts in that district.  For each precinct, I’ve also included some demographic and geographic information.

Ward 2 (Downtown/Acre)

Ward 2, Precinct 1 – Population – 3373; Registered – 1221; %-Reg – 36%; Age 33
2-1 Boundary – Merrimack River x Cabot x Salem x Merrimack River
Includes upper Merrimack & Moody, UML’s Fox Hall, University Crossing (St Joseph’s Hospital), LeLacheur Park
Polling Place: Lowell Telecommunications, 246 Market St

Mom – 11 votes – Leary – 6 votes
Mom wins 2-1 by 5 votes; up by 5

Ward 2, Precinct 2 – Population – 3342; Registered – 1760; %-Reg – 53%; Age 49
2-2 Boundary – Merrimack River x Kirk/Dutton x Fletcher x Cabot
Includes Moody St, Salem St, Riverplace Towers, Tsongas Arena, North Common Village
Polling Place: Lowell Telecommunications, 246 Market St

Mom – 46 votes; Leary 18 votes
Mom wins 2-2 by 28 votes; up by 33

Ward 3 (Middlesex Village/Highlands)

Ward 3, Precinct 1 – Population – 3171; Registered – 1518; %-Reg – 48%; Age 45
3-1 Boundary – Merrimack River x Harvard St x Princeton Blvd x North Chelmsford
Includes Middlesex St, Burnside, Webber, Hadley, Wood. Humane Society to Rourke Bridge
Polling Place: Bailey School on Campbell Dr

Mom – 42 votes; Leary 27 votes
Mom wins 3-1 by 15 votes; up by 48 votes

Ward 3, Precinct 2 – Population – 3187; Registered – 1390; %-Reg – 44%; Age 42
3-2 Boundary – Broadway x Walker x Princeton Blvd x Harvard St
Includes parts of Middlesex, Wilder, UML South Campus, city DPW HQ
Polling Place: Bailey School on Campbell Dr

Mom – 33 votes; Leary 48 votes
Leary wins 3-2 by 15 votes; Mom up by 33

Ward 3, Precinct 3 – Population – 3125; Registered – 1422; %-Reg – 46%; Age 45
3-3 Boundary – Princeton Blvd x School St x Liberty/Pine x Gibson
Includes Cupples Sq west to Tyler Park
Polling Place: Morey School on Pine St

Mom – 66 votes; Leary 26 votes
Mom wins 3-3 by 40 votes; Mom up by 73

Ward 4 (Highlands)

Ward 4, Precinct 1 – Population – 3369; Registered – 1730; %-Reg – 51%; Age 44
4-1 Boundary – Pine/Liberty x School/Powell x Parker x Stevens
Includes Shaw, Wilder, Puffer, Morey, A, B, C, St Margarets, Callery Park
Polling Place: Morey School on Pine St

Mom – 85 votes; Leary 63 votes
Mom wins 4-1 by 22 votes; Mom up by 95 votes

Ward 7 (Acre)

Ward 7, Precinct 1 – Population – 3341; Registered – 1416; %-Reg – 42%; Age 46
7-1 Boundary – Merrimack River x Fletcher St x Broadway x Humane Society
Includes Wilder, Walker, Wannalancit, Pawtucket, UML South Campus, Bartlett School
Polling Place: Senior Center on Broadway

Mom – 37 votes; Leary 23 votes
Mom wins 7-1 by 14 votes; Mom up by 109

Ward 7, Precinct 2 – Population – 3300; Registered – 1516; %-Reg – 46%; Age 41
7-2 Boundary – Bowers St x Fletcher St x Western Ave x School St
Includes Cross, Mt. Vernon, Willie. From Textile Museum to Stoklosa School
Polling Place: Senior Center on Broadway

Mom – 44 votes; Leary 13 votes
Mom wins 7-2 by 31 votes; Mom up by 140 votes

Ward 7, Precinct 3 – Population – 3158; Registered – 1243; %-Reg – 39%; Age 42
7-3 Boundary – Broadway/Western Ave x Fletcher x Westford x Walker
Includes Branch, Middlesex, Pevey, School, Clemente Park, Pailin Plaza
Polling Place: Senior Center on Broadway

Mom – 62 votes; Leary – 14 votes
Mom wins 7-3 by 48 votes; Mom up by 188 votes

Ward 8 (Highlands)

Ward 8, Precinct 1 – Population – 3354; Registered – 1504; %-Reg – 45%; Age 45
8-1 Boundary – Princeton Blvd x Gibson St x Pine/Westford/Stedman x Drum Hill
Includes Wood St, Montview, Rutland, Georgia Ave, Tyler Park
Polling Place: Health Department (former Pine Street School)

Mom – 40 votes; Leary 59 votes
Leary wins 8-1 by 19 votes; Mom up by 169

Ward 8, Precinct 2 – Population – 3305; Registered – 1815; %-Reg – 55%; Age 46
8-2 Boundary – Parker St x Lowell Connector x Chelmsford line x Steven St
Includes Chelmsford, Jenness, Viola, Avenue C, Lowell Catholic, Cross Point, Lowe’s
Polling Place: Daley School on Fleming St

Mom – 93 votes; Leary 79 votes
Mom wins 8-2 by 14 votes; Mom up by 183 votes

Ward 8, Precinct 3 – Population – 3124; Registered – 2162; %-Reg – 69%; Age 50
8-3 Boundary – Pine/Westford x Stevens x Rte 3 x Stedman St
Includes Wedge, Lincoln Pkwy, Sanders, Staples, Mt Pleasant Golf Club
Polling Place: Daley School on Fleming St

Mom – 88 votes; Leary – 219 votes
Leary wins 8-3 by 131 votes; Mom wins election by 52 votes

Factors affecting outcome:

*Leary and Brian Donovan split the vote in Ward 8 with Leary getting 353 votes and Donovan 339.  Had only one of them been in the race, the other might have picked up the majority of those votes and probably won the election

*By the same token, the vigorous write-in/sticker campaign waged by Paul Ratha Yem probably took votes from Rady Mom as did Dave Ouellette.  Ouellette won both precincts in Ward 2 while Mom finished second.  Had Ouellette not been in the race, Mom might have picked up much of his support.

*Ward 8, especially 8-3 which is the upper Highlands/St Margaret’s parish, continues to fade as an electoral force.  In the 2011 city election, 10,000 people voted.  In 2013, 11,500 voted.  In the 2013 election, 32 of 33 precincts showed an increase in the total vote.  The one that showed a decline was 8-3

*This is the first election I recall where the Acre and Lower Highlands were decisive to the outcome.  Mom beat Leary by 40 votes in Ward 3 and by 93 in Ward 7.  This offset Leary’s 136 vote margin over Mom in Ward 8.  Mom’s 33 vote win in the Ward 2 precincts and his 22 vote advantage in 4-1 gave him his margin of victory.

*In November, we have Rady Mom the Democrat facing Fred Bahou, the unenrolled candidate.