Unrest in Egypt
The last time I remember rioting in the streets in the Middle East, it was 1979 and the people of Iran overthrew the Shah. Islamic fundamentalists seized control, the US Embassy was seized and its staff taken hostage, and the world became a much more dangerous place. Could the same thing happen in Egypt? CNN reports that the current protests are the doings of young people who are well-educated but unemployed or underemployed in Egypt’s stagnant, oil-less economy. That may well be true, but overthrowing a 30-year regime is inherently unstable and the fundamentalists have always been quick to exploit opportunities, so the situation is precarious.
The one cause for hope is the Egyptian Army. While the police appear to be universally despised by their countrymen, the soldiers seem to be held in high esteem and many reports from Egypt describe soldiers and protesters acting harmoniously in contrast to the violence directed at the police who have mostly disappeared. And the Egyptian Army has long had very close ties to the US military; much of its officer corps has received advanced training in America and US Army units often deploy to Egypt for joint exercises. The Egyptian Army Chief of Staff, in fact, had to race back to his country from Washington this week where he was engaged in high level meetings with US commanders. Hopefully a coalition of civilian reformers and the military will guide the country through this turmoil and keep the fundamentalists out of power.
Nearly all of the young people involved in the revolution all served on the military. Egypt has compulsory military service of men and women. So I do not think they fear the police or the Egyptian army.
This is a revolution about repression,food and money for a dowry so the young people can get married as the custom in Egypt.
I just saw some video on the news of the Egyptian army deploying in the streets. It looked like the 1980’s era US Army VII Corps painted desert sand. Lots of M60 tanks and M113 armored personnel carriers. When we fielded our M1 tanks and M2 Bradley fighting vehicles, it looks like our used armored vehicles went to Egypt to replace their Soviet-made stuff.
News reporters were calling M113 armored personnel carriers,tanks. What do reporters know when it comes to the military, usually nothing. When M60 tanks and M113 armored personnel carriers threw a track in the field they were a pain to repair .