“Moneyball” strikes out
Posted by DickH on 03 Jul 2009 at 08:53 pm | Tagged as: History, Lowell-2009
“Moneyball: The art of winning an unfair game” is one of my all time favorite books. Written in 1993 by Michael Lewis, the book follows Billy Beane, the general manager of the Oakland A’s, as he uses intensive statistical analysis to identify and obtain “undervalued” baseball players for his low-payroll by usually competitive baseball team. There are many reasons I like the book: Lewis’s writing is always amusing and interesting; books that like this that look at the inner workings of pro sports are (almost) always enjoyable to read; one of the “stars” of the book was a then unknown former Lowell Spinner named Kevin Youkilis; and, even though the book was about baseball, it demonstrated how valuable statistics and data are in the decision making process.
Because the book was so good, I was somewhat excited to discover a while ago that a movie version of the book starring Brad Pitt as Billy Beane was in the works. Today, however, we learn that just before filming was to begin, Sony Pictures abandoned the project with no public explanation. Speculation is that Sony had doubts about the potential box office appeal of the film and didn’t want to risk a substantial chunk of money on a risky project in this tough economy.
Maybe if Sony’s decision makers were better informed of the city of Lowell’s demonstrated photogenic-ness and got a look at LeLacheur Field during a Spinners game, they might revive the project.

Dick,
Michael Lewis reminds me why I like books written by journalists so much more than books written by academics — easier to read, better flow, and just as intelligent but without all the pretense.. Moneyball is one of those books that takes something that seems intuitive and makes you wish you had said it or written it..(and that’s why Malcolm Gladwell is a millionaire, too, because he does that so well in all his stuff).
As a HUGE fan of anyone who can explain away a piece of conventional wisdom and then use numbers to back it up, I want to echo the Moneyball praise…for all the many many years that talent scouts have been traveling to barnstorming leagues all over the country, sleeping in bad motels and eating E. Coli burgers along the way, number-crunching analysis of something as simple as On-Base Percentage turns out to be a far better predictor of a player’s value added than something totally subjective like the “sweetness of his swing” or the “spring in his jump step towards first” to run out a grounder.
Sorry to hear Hollywood thought it was too risky, esp. because they can put their own spin on it however they want, or add in a love story to make it work, or whatever..
..As someone who first learned how to read, write, add, divide, etc. thanks to following baseball, just want to recommend Moneyball to anyone who’s interested in the role of money in sports, talent scouting, or just a good piece of writing by one of the best contemporary non-fiction writers..
best,
gp
Maybe if they started to get the sets and everything ready they can use them to make a movie about a real baseball genius.
The title is pretty simple:\
The Earl Weaver Story: Pitching and 3-Run Homers.
A walk is as good as a hit my butt. Ever see someone advance from first to third on a base on balls?
And kindly tell anyone who tries to quantify fielding with such nonsense as rtzrd and lgRF9 to disgorge themselves of any and all tickets they possess, right this instant.
GhostofChuck,
Here are the numbers from every inning out of 29 years of MLB games. The left column is what the lead-off batter did, and the right column is the frequency with which he scored:
Reach Freq
1B .397
2B .640
3B .875
HR 1.000
BB .399
HP .409
INT .272
E .438
If the lead-off batter is retired, there is a 16.1% chance a run will score in some way, shape, or form that inning.
Admittedly, no one moved a guy from 1st to 3rd on a BB (unless there was a catcher and a third-baseman not paying attention), but if we’re talking about lead-off batters, on-base percentage (however it’s done) is king.
best,
gp