“. . . I miss Paul Tsongas now more than ever. He was an old Lowellian with the foresight to help shape a modern day city and unite all factions for the common good. . . .”

Portion of a comment by “Right in Lowell” on an earlier post about the fate of City Manager Lynch.

The urgent desire of so many city councilors to rid the city of the Tsongas Arena and its $1 million plus per year drain on our finances is understandable.  It’s also premature.  As originally envisioned by Paul Tsongas back in the mid-1990s, the prime tenant of the arena was to be the UML RiverHawks with the rest of the calendar filled with concerts, trade shows, civic and university events.

An American Hockey League franchise was an afterthought – certainly a very welcome one – but an afterthought nonetheless.  Lowell was still in the midst of the last major real estate collapse which, for those of you new to the city or too young to remember, was actually worse than our current plight (for the time being, at least).  Paul Tsongas and many others, I think, gave more weight to the symbolic rather than the actual value of a professional franchise.  Gaining an AHL franchise, it was hoped, would elevate Lowell into the upper echelons of mid-sized, post industrial American cities.  The rush to achieve that goal pre-empted any serious effort to ascertain whether this region could support so many hockey games.  Maybe no such objective study was undertaken because people knew what the answer would be.

The answer, of course, is that a professional hockey franchise is just not a good fit for Lowell.  Through the past decade, there have been multiple owners (Behrakis/Campbell/McCallum – McCallum – NJ Devils), multiple management teams, multiple marketing strategies and through it all, a succession of incredibly talented, dedicated and hard working hockey players who each night rewarded fans with inspiring efforts on the ice.  Through it all, nothing has succeeded in raising attendance to the level necessary to make pro hockey fiscally sustainable in Lowell.  Anyone who continues to contend that better or more aggressive marketing will solve the AHL attendance problems isn’t dealing in reality.

So if it were simply a matter of signing over the arena to UML and ending the city’s seven figure annual subsidy of its operations, I might see the wisdom of that approach.  But it’s not that simple. 

What about the Devils’ lease which runs through next hockey season, ending in April 2010.  It’s simply inconceivable to expect the University to take exclusive ownership of the arena while still bound by that lease and the operating deficit that accompanies it.  In that case, what are the options?  Is the city to transfer the arena but retain financial responsibility for any deficit through the end of the Devils’ lease?  Or should the city negotiate an early end to the lease, an outcome that would certainly require a substantial payment from the city to the hockey team for giving up the final year of an extremely desirable arrangement?  Or should the city unilaterally break the lease and subject us to a lawsuit with substantial damages? 

Each of those options would seem to cost at least as much as the annual operating deficit, so wouldn’t it be more prudent for the city to just struggle through one more year of the Devils’ lease and then end that relationship cleanly and legally, opening the way for the city to make a fresh start with the arena in 2010?  Without 40 anemically attended pro hockey games and associated practices, perhaps the cost of arena management and operations could be cut to a level that would make the deficit more tolerable.  The city budgets $400,000 per year for the Lowell Auditorium and that never earns a peep of complaint out of anyone, so maybe that’s a more digestible number for operating the arena.  But with all the additional open dates, more and diverse events could be booked, possible bringing the cost of operations to the break even point.  It would also, finally, return the arena to the role initially intended for it.

The current fiscal crisis is going to have a devastating effect on everyone in the coming months, particularly local government.  Immediately eliminating the cost of arena operations and using those funds for other purposes would greatly ease the pain.  But in reality, the arena operating costs can’t be eliminated right away because of the Devils’ lease, so if we have to pay anyway, where’s the wisdom of dumping an asset with potentially huge long-term value to the city?  That would make no sense.